Fulham vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
35.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
EVE
3 - 0
FUL
61%
22%
17%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2007 |
MUD
2 - 0
FUL
77%
16%
7%
|
82 | 95 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
FUL
2 - 2
BBU
33%
27%
40%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
LIV
2 - 0
FUL
71%
19%
11%
|
82 | 92 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
FUL
3 - 1
REA
44%
25%
31%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
NEW
2 - 1
BIR
59%
23%
17%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2007 |
NEW
1 - 1
ARS
22%
26%
52%
|
86 | 95 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
BBU
3 - 1
NEW
55%
24%
21%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
NEW
0 - 3
LIV
29%
28%
43%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
SUN
1 - 1
NEW
27%
27%
46%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |