Premier League . Jor. 17

Fulham vs Aston Villa analysis

Fulham Aston Villa
76 ELO 77
-4% Tilt -11.2%
69º General ELO ranking 32º
15º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
51.1%
Fulham
23.1%
Draw
25.7%
Aston Villa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
Fulham
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
25.8%
Win probability
Aston Villa
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fulham
+6%
-4%
Aston Villa

ELO progression

Fulham
Aston Villa
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fulham
Fulham
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Nov. 1963
TOT
Tottenham Hotspur
1 - 0
Fulham
FUL
87%
9%
5%
75 88 13 0
26 Oct. 1963
FUL
Fulham
0 - 1
Chelsea
CHL
58%
21%
21%
76 73 3 -1
19 Oct. 1963
STO
Stoke City
1 - 1
Fulham
FUL
48%
25%
28%
76 69 7 0
12 Oct. 1963
FUL
Fulham
0 - 0
Nottingham Forest
NTT
46%
23%
30%
76 80 4 0
05 Oct. 1963
BBU
Blackburn Rovers
2 - 0
Fulham
FUL
70%
17%
13%
76 81 5 0

Matches

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Nov. 1963
ASV
Aston Villa
3 - 0
Bolton Wanderers
BOL
59%
21%
20%
77 74 3 0
26 Oct. 1963
SHW
Sheffield Wednesday
1 - 0
Aston Villa
ASV
69%
17%
14%
77 84 7 0
19 Oct. 1963
ASV
Aston Villa
2 - 1
Arsenal
ARS
39%
23%
38%
76 82 6 +1
16 Oct. 1963
ASV
Aston Villa
0 - 2
West Ham
WHU
58%
21%
21%
77 78 1 -1
12 Oct. 1963
WBA
West Bromwich Albion
4 - 3
Aston Villa
ASV
67%
18%
15%
77 81 4 0
X