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Oberliga. Niederrhein, Matchday 4

FSV Duisburg vs Hilden analysis

FSV Duisburg Hilden
8 ELO 22
7% Tilt 124%
11610º General ELO ranking 7883º
424º Country ELO ranking 234º
ELO win probability
20.8%
FSV Duisburg
18.6%
Draw
60.6%
Hilden

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.8%
Win probability
FSV Duisburg
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.6%
60.6%
Win probability
Hilden
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%