FK Metta vs BFC Daugavpils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
31.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
9º
9º
36
7º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Metta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
FSM
0 - 3
ARI
17%
22%
62%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2023 |
FKT
1 - 1
FSM
53%
23%
24%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2023 |
FSM
0 - 1
AUD
26%
27%
48%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
LIE
3 - 2
FSM
70%
19%
11%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
FSM
0 - 6
RIG
15%
22%
63%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
BFC
2 - 0
SUP
69%
19%
13%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
BFC
1 - 1
FKJ
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2023 |
BFC
3 - 1
FKT
29%
24%
47%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
AUD
1 - 1
BFC
70%
18%
11%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
BFC
1 - 2
LIE
15%
23%
62%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | -1 |