Fribourg vs Naters analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
40.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fribourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
ECH
3 - 0
FRI
74%
15%
11%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
FRI
0 - 1
FCA
71%
16%
13%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
FRI
1 - 4
MEY
22%
22%
55%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -2 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 0
FRI
59%
20%
22%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
FRI
1 - 1
ETO
44%
22%
34%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Naters
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
NAT
1 - 1
MAR
57%
20%
23%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
ETO
0 - 1
NAT
61%
20%
20%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
NAT
2 - 2
YOU
26%
22%
52%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
VEV
4 - 0
NAT
50%
23%
28%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -2 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
NAT
2 - 4
LAU
50%
22%
27%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -2 |