Fribourg vs Farvagny / Ogoz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
32.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fribourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
DUD
2 - 2
FRI
64%
19%
17%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
FRI
2 - 1
NEX
31%
21%
48%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
SEC
2 - 1
FRI
74%
15%
11%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
FRI
3 - 2
FCP
73%
15%
12%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
FRI
2 - 0
LOC
48%
21%
32%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Farvagny / Ogoz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
SEC
2 - 0
FAR
59%
20%
21%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
STA
0 - 1
FAR
33%
23%
44%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
FAR
1 - 2
FCP
73%
16%
11%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
FAR
2 - 2
LOC
57%
21%
23%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
ECH
2 - 1
FAR
27%
23%
50%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |