Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.2%
15.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+72%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freienbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
FRE
0 - 4
LUG
46%
27%
27%
|
26 | 27 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
FRE
1 - 2
FCP
35%
27%
38%
|
26 | 58 | -32 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
FCW
2 - 0
FRE
46%
27%
26%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
FRE
3 - 2
BAD
41%
28%
31%
|
32 | 42 | -10 | -6 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
FRE
4 - 0
FCG
41%
28%
31%
|
31 | 38 | -7 | +1 |
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
FRE
0 - 4
LUG
46%
27%
27%
|
27 | 26 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
LUG
0 - 1
LIN
44%
27%
28%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
FCP
0 - 0
LUG
60%
23%
18%
|
27 | 58 | 31 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
LUG
1 - 0
FCB
46%
27%
27%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
LUG
3 - 0
TUG
37%
28%
35%
|
27 | 50 | -23 | 0 |