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Regionalliga. Suroeste, Matchday 40

Freiburg II FC 08 Homburg
39 ELO 32
70% Tilt 31%
2352º General ELO ranking 3209º
81º Country ELO ranking 112º
ELO win probability
67.3%
Freiburg II
16.8%
Draw
15.9%
FC 08 Homburg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
Freiburg II
2.65
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.8%
15.9%
Win probability
FC 08 Homburg
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Freiburg II
+90%
+40%
FC 08 Homburg

Points and table prediction

Freiburg II
Their league position
FC 08 Homburg
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
93
68
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Freiburg II
93
93
100%
SV 07 Elversberg
88
88
100%
Kickers Offenbach FC
87
87
100%
Ulm
79
79
100%
TSV Steinbach
74
74
100%
FSV Frankfurt
70
70
100%
FC 08 Homburg
68
68
100%
Stuttgart II
65
65
100%
Bahlinger SC
61
61
100%
TuS RW Koblenz
10º
56
56
10º
100%
FC Giessen
11º
53
53
11º
50%
Hessen Kassel
12º
53
53
12º
50%
VfR Aalen
13º
52
52
14º
50%
FK Pirmasens
14º
52
52
13º
50%
TSG Balingen
15º
51
51
15º
100%
Hoffenheim II
16º
50
50
16º
100%
Mainz 05 II
17º
49
49
17º
100%
Astoria Walldorf
18º
47
47
18º
100%
SG Sonnenhof Großaspach
19º
43
43
19º
100%
Schott Mainz
20º
38
38
20º
100%
Bayern Alzenau
21º
25
25
21º
100%
Eintracht Stadtallendorf
22º
17
17
22º
100%
Expected probabilities
Freiburg II
FC 08 Homburg
Champion
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Freiburg II
FRE
FC 08 Homburg
HOM
Bayern Alzenau
BAY
SV 07 Elversberg
ELV
TSV Steinbach
STE
TuS RW Koblenz
KOB
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Freiburg II
Freiburg II
1%
X%
2%
ELO FRE ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 May. 2021
FRE
Freiburg II
3 - 0
Ulm
ULM
45%
27%
28%
441 444 -3 +3
22 May. 2021
HES
Hessen Kassel
0 - 0
Freiburg II
FRE
44%
27%
29%
441 342 -99 0
16 May. 2021
FRE
Freiburg II
5 - 1
Eintracht Stadtallendorf
EIN
53%
24%
23%
576 221 355 +2
08 May. 2021
SMA
Schott Mainz
0 - 2
Freiburg II
FRE
33%
28%
39%
574 33 -541 +1
04 May. 2021
FRE
Freiburg II
3 - 1
Stuttgart II
STU
51%
25%
23%
572 409 163 +2

Matches

FC 08 Homburg
FC 08 Homburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO HOM ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 May. 2021
HOM
FC 08 Homburg
3 - 1
TSV Steinbach
STE
46%
27%
28%
381 439 -58 +2
15 May. 2021
BAL
TSG Balingen
1 - 0
FC 08 Homburg
HOM
47%
27%
26%
425 440 15 -1
08 May. 2021
HOM
FC 08 Homburg
1 - 1
Hoffenheim II
HOF
46%
27%
28%
425 491 -66 0
04 May. 2021
OFC
Kickers Offenbach FC
3 - 2
FC 08 Homburg
HOM
56%
25%
20%
426 747 321 -1
01 May. 2021
HOM
FC 08 Homburg
2 - 1
SG Sonnenhof Großaspach
SGS
40%
28%
32%
424 686 -262 +2