Freiberg vs Oberachern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
13.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
NOT
2 - 3
FRE
60%
19%
21%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2018 |
FRE
0 - 2
BIS
33%
25%
42%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
REU
4 - 0
FRE
49%
22%
30%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
FRE
1 - 1
SPI
78%
14%
9%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 3
FRE
54%
21%
26%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Oberachern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
OBE
4 - 3
TSB
45%
22%
33%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2018 |
LIN
1 - 0
OBE
14%
17%
69%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
OBE
1 - 1
ILS
81%
12%
7%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
PFO
3 - 0
OBE
32%
24%
44%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
OBE
3 - 1
SVS
15%
19%
66%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | +3 |