Freiberg vs Oberachern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
36.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+98%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
KEH
1 - 2
FRE
31%
25%
44%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
FRE
1 - 2
RAV
51%
22%
28%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
PFO
4 - 2
FRE
56%
21%
23%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
FRE
1 - 1
BIS
48%
22%
30%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
KSC
0 - 1
FRE
61%
21%
18%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Oberachern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
OBE
4 - 2
VIL
68%
17%
14%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
FRE
0 - 1
OBE
42%
23%
36%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
OBE
1 - 3
HOL
57%
21%
23%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 2
OBE
36%
23%
41%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
REU
0 - 0
OBE
43%
22%
36%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |