Free State Stars vs Bidvest Wits analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.2%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
40.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
AMA
1 - 0
FRE
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
FRE
0 - 0
CHI
41%
28%
32%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2017 |
BLO
0 - 0
FRE
40%
29%
31%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2017 |
FRE
3 - 1
BID
26%
29%
45%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2017 |
MPU
1 - 0
FRE
65%
21%
13%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Bidvest Wits
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2017 |
BID
0 - 1
MPU
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
BID
2 - 2
GOL
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
CHI
1 - 0
BID
38%
30%
33%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2017 |
BID
2 - 0
POL
58%
24%
18%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2017 |
FRE
3 - 1
BID
26%
29%
45%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | -1 |