Free State Stars vs Bidvest Wits analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
SSU
2 - 0
FRE
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
FRE
3 - 3
SAN
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2009 |
SWA
2 - 1
FRE
45%
28%
27%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2009 |
PIR
0 - 0
FRE
53%
27%
20%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
FRE
2 - 0
MPU
69%
19%
12%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Bidvest Wits
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
BID
0 - 0
PIR
35%
29%
36%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
MPU
1 - 1
BID
37%
28%
35%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
BID
2 - 1
GOL
39%
29%
32%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2009 |
COS
0 - 0
BID
32%
30%
38%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
BID
0 - 0
SWA
40%
27%
34%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |