Free State Stars vs TS Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
23.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
FRE
0 - 1
SWA
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
FRE
2 - 2
STE
59%
24%
17%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
JDR
1 - 1
FRE
35%
28%
38%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
RKF
3 - 0
FRE
29%
28%
43%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
FRE
0 - 0
CPU
70%
20%
10%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
TS Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
UTH
0 - 0
TSS
55%
27%
19%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
TSS
1 - 0
MIL
34%
27%
39%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
PRE
4 - 2
TSS
45%
26%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
TSS
2 - 3
AJA
34%
27%
38%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
TSS
2 - 0
COS
43%
28%
29%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |