Free State Stars vs Richards Bay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
13.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
EAG
0 - 2
FRE
33%
26%
41%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
FRE
1 - 1
COS
62%
23%
15%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
MIL
0 - 2
FRE
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
FRE
1 - 2
TSS
54%
22%
23%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
FRE
0 - 1
SWA
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Richards Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
RIB
1 - 2
STE
37%
26%
37%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
RIB
2 - 3
AJA
21%
28%
51%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
EAG
3 - 1
RIB
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2019 |
RIB
2 - 1
PRE
43%
26%
31%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
RIB
1 - 2
AJA
24%
21%
55%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |