Free State Stars vs Swallows FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
16.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
PIR
1 - 0
FRE
53%
26%
21%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
BLO
1 - 0
FRE
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
FRE
1 - 0
SSU
54%
23%
23%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
FRE
4 - 1
MAR
66%
21%
13%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
MPU
1 - 1
FRE
26%
29%
46%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Swallows FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
SWA
3 - 2
VAS
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
PIR
2 - 0
SWA
59%
25%
16%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
BAR
2 - 1
SWA
50%
23%
27%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
BLO
0 - 1
SWA
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 3
SWA
45%
25%
30%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |