Fredrikstad vs Bærum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
21.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fredrikstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
FOL
2 - 3
FFK
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
FFK
2 - 0
BRY
46%
25%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2015 |
BBS
5 - 1
FFK
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
FFK
3 - 2
SAN
32%
26%
42%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
JER
4 - 0
FFK
47%
25%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Bærum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
BAR
5 - 2
NES
43%
23%
34%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ASA
5 - 0
BAR
49%
23%
28%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 2
KRI
30%
25%
45%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
HON
2 - 2
BAR
49%
23%
28%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 5
SOG
26%
25%
49%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | -1 |