Fredericia vs Hobro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
3º
10º
4º
33
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fredericia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
MID
4 - 3
FRE
74%
16%
10%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
VEN
0 - 2
FRE
29%
23%
48%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
FRE
0 - 2
AGF
24%
23%
53%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
LFA
1 - 5
FRE
25%
22%
53%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
FRE
4 - 0
HIL
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Hobro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
KOL
3 - 1
HOB
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
BRA
0 - 1
HOB
17%
22%
61%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
HOB
1 - 0
SKI
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
HOB
0 - 1
VEN
34%
24%
43%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
HIL
0 - 0
HOB
36%
27%
38%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |