Paulista B Eliminatorias. Last 16
Global 2-3
Francana vs Rio Branco SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
32.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Francana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
RIO
1 - 0
FRA
39%
25%
36%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
FRA
1 - 0
MAT
65%
20%
15%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
ECN
0 - 1
FRA
31%
23%
46%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
FRA
1 - 1
GDS
71%
17%
12%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
BEB
1 - 3
FRA
26%
23%
52%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Rio Branco SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
RIO
1 - 0
FRA
39%
25%
36%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
RIO
3 - 2
UNI
55%
23%
22%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
AAI
0 - 0
RIO
33%
23%
44%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
RIO
2 - 2
ELO
72%
17%
12%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
IND
2 - 1
RIO
41%
25%
34%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |