Francana vs Brasil de Pelotas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
26.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Francana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1979 |
MIX
0 - 1
FRA
72%
18%
10%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Brasil de Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1979 |
BRA
0 - 1
COT
17%
23%
60%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1979 |
CHA
1 - 1
BRA
61%
23%
17%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
SAO
1 - 1
BRA
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1979 |
BRA
1 - 1
DES
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1979 |
BRA
2 - 0
CAL
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |