Fram vs Keflavik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
24.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
2º
4º
3º
16
2º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 12 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 8 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
27 | 8 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 6 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
16 | 4 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 2 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fram
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
IBV
2 - 2
FRA
45%
26%
30%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
HKK
1 - 1
FRA
49%
24%
27%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
FRA
2 - 3
VIK
18%
23%
59%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
KEF
0 - 0
FRA
42%
24%
34%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
FRA
2 - 1
KAA
23%
24%
53%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Keflavik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
KEF
2 - 1
HKK
34%
25%
41%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
KAA
4 - 2
KEF
68%
19%
13%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
STJ
3 - 0
KEF
70%
18%
12%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
KEF
0 - 0
FRA
42%
24%
34%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
BRE
2 - 1
KEF
81%
13%
6%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |