Fraga vs Valdefierro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
13.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fraga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
TAM
2 - 1
FRA
48%
24%
29%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
FRA
0 - 0
SIE
68%
18%
14%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
SAR
2 - 1
FRA
44%
24%
32%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
FRA
3 - 2
UDM
76%
15%
9%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
ATL
1 - 0
FRA
20%
22%
58%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Valdefierro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
CFV
0 - 2
ATL
53%
22%
25%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
UDC
3 - 1
CFV
30%
25%
45%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
CFV
4 - 0
CDM
74%
16%
11%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
PEN
0 - 1
CFV
11%
19%
70%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
CFV
2 - 0
ALC
70%
17%
13%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |