Fraga vs Valdefierro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
32.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-73%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fraga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
UFC
3 - 1
FRA
60%
21%
20%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
FRA
0 - 1
TER
15%
24%
61%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
CFJ
2 - 0
FRA
37%
24%
39%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
FRA
1 - 0
CUA
55%
22%
23%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
ATL
6 - 1
FRA
81%
13%
6%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Valdefierro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
CFV
0 - 0
BAR
39%
24%
37%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
MAL
1 - 1
CFV
43%
24%
33%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
ZAR
3 - 2
CFV
83%
11%
6%
|
18 | 41 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
CFV
1 - 4
UFC
50%
23%
27%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
TER
5 - 0
CFV
77%
14%
9%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | 0 |