Fraga vs Peña Ferranca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.8%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.4%
6.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fraga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
ASJ
0 - 2
FRA
15%
21%
65%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
FRA
1 - 1
CFV
68%
18%
14%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
TAM
2 - 1
FRA
48%
24%
29%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
FRA
0 - 0
SIE
68%
18%
14%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
SAR
2 - 1
FRA
44%
24%
32%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Peña Ferranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 3
ATL
22%
24%
54%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
UDC
2 - 2
PEN
65%
20%
15%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 1
CDM
42%
24%
34%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
PEN
0 - 2
PEN
29%
24%
47%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
PEN
0 - 0
ALC
43%
24%
33%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |