Fraga vs Peña Azagresa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
19.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fraga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
ZAR
1 - 0
FRA
63%
20%
17%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2019 |
CUA
3 - 1
FRA
41%
23%
36%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
FRA
1 - 0
TAR
25%
23%
52%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
SDB
1 - 0
FRA
48%
24%
28%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
FRA
1 - 1
TER
11%
20%
69%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | +2 |
Matches
Peña Azagresa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
PEN
2 - 2
MUR
64%
20%
17%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2019 |
COR
1 - 1
PEN
54%
23%
23%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
PEN
2 - 0
VAL
51%
23%
26%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
CDB
1 - 1
PEN
38%
23%
40%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
PEN
2 - 3
SUB
57%
21%
22%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |