Fraga vs Huesca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
14.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fraga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1999 |
LAA
0 - 1
FRA
27%
26%
46%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1999 |
LAL
1 - 2
FRA
34%
27%
39%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 1999 |
FRA
4 - 3
MON
81%
13%
6%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1998 |
UDC
5 - 1
FRA
67%
19%
14%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1998 |
FRA
3 - 2
FUE
82%
12%
6%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Huesca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1999 |
HUE
2 - 1
BAR
38%
26%
36%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1999 |
HUE
0 - 0
SAR
64%
22%
14%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1999 |
UFC
2 - 2
HUE
50%
25%
26%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1998 |
HUE
2 - 2
ZUE
83%
12%
5%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1998 |
TAM
1 - 3
HUE
20%
25%
55%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |