Fosses vs Pesche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
15%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fosses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ASS
3 - 1
FOS
61%
18%
21%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
FOS
1 - 2
ROC
41%
21%
38%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
FOS
1 - 4
ANT
47%
22%
31%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
AND
2 - 2
FOS
9%
15%
76%
|
27 | 8 | 19 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
ROC
2 - 1
FOS
43%
21%
36%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Pesche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
PES
0 - 1
SPY
77%
13%
9%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
WEP
6 - 0
PES
71%
16%
13%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
PES
2 - 3
ONH
23%
22%
55%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
MEU
1 - 1
PES
63%
18%
19%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
PES
2 - 2
PRO
42%
23%
36%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |