Forward Madison vs Richmond Kickers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
35.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
8º
6º
29
2º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forward Madison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
FMA
0 - 0
OKS
42%
26%
32%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
CRW
3 - 1
FMA
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
CVF
4 - 4
FMA
31%
26%
43%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
TOR
4 - 2
FMA
52%
25%
24%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
FMA
1 - 2
OKS
53%
25%
22%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Richmond Kickers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
OMA
2 - 1
RIC
66%
21%
14%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
RIC
3 - 3
CVF
62%
21%
17%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
LSC
1 - 0
RIC
13%
20%
67%
|
51 | 26 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
RIC
1 - 3
CAR
39%
26%
36%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
CRW
3 - 2
RIC
32%
26%
42%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |