Forward Madison vs Duluth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
15.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forward Madison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
NAP
2 - 0
FMA
18%
22%
60%
|
61 | 13 | 48 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2025 |
IND
5 - 0
FMA
50%
24%
27%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
FMA
0 - 0
SPV
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 36 | 25 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
FMA
2 - 0
CHA
34%
28%
39%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
NCO
1 - 0
FMA
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Duluth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
EFS
3 - 0
DUL
63%
20%
17%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
DMU
0 - 2
DUL
18%
19%
63%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
DAK
0 - 1
DUL
36%
21%
44%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
DUL
2 - 0
MIN
79%
12%
9%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
SIO
3 - 2
DUL
11%
15%
74%
|
41 | 15 | 26 | -1 |