Forward Madison vs North Carolina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forward Madison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
FMA
2 - 5
CRW
39%
28%
33%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
GTR
2 - 2
FMA
45%
27%
28%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2022 |
OMA
1 - 0
FMA
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
FMA
0 - 0
CAR
64%
21%
14%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
NCO
1 - 3
FMA
45%
26%
29%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 1
CVF
37%
24%
39%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
NCO
4 - 1
CAR
68%
19%
13%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 1
TUC
43%
24%
33%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
FMA
0 - 0
CAR
64%
21%
14%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
OMA
4 - 1
CAR
65%
21%
14%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | 0 |