Forward Madison vs North Carolina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
31.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forward Madison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
TUC
1 - 1
FMA
32%
27%
42%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
FMA
4 - 0
MIB
39%
23%
38%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
SPK
0 - 1
FMA
26%
21%
54%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
IND
3 - 0
FMA
43%
23%
35%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
CFS
2 - 0
FMA
80%
13%
7%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 2
GTR
38%
28%
35%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 1
CHA
41%
24%
35%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 1
CHA
48%
23%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
CHA
2 - 1
CAR
52%
23%
25%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
CAR
0 - 1
CHA
52%
23%
25%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |