Fortuna Sittard vs Raków Częstochowa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
48.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
FOR
0 - 3
LIV
36%
25%
39%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2022 |
ADA
1 - 2
FOR
70%
17%
13%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
GRO
2 - 3
FOR
46%
27%
28%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FOR
0 - 1
FCE
34%
26%
40%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
SPA
3 - 1
FOR
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Raków Częstochowa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2022 |
AND
1 - 1
RAK
47%
26%
28%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
PSV
4 - 2
RAK
77%
15%
9%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
ZAL
1 - 2
RAK
31%
27%
42%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
POG
0 - 1
RAK
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
RAK
7 - 1
PLO
45%
25%
31%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |