Fortuna Köln vs Sportfreunde Lotte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
25.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2018 |
KAI
3 - 3
KÖL
52%
27%
22%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
KÖL
2 - 0
CZJ
39%
26%
35%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
EBT
0 - 2
KÖL
63%
22%
15%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | +2 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
ZWI
1 - 0
KÖL
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2018 |
KÖL
0 - 1
KSC
31%
27%
42%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sportfreunde Lotte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
SPO
2 - 1
ZWI
34%
28%
38%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
KSC
1 - 3
SPO
61%
23%
16%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
SPO
0 - 1
HAL
26%
26%
48%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2018 |
PRE
1 - 0
SPO
62%
22%
17%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
SPO
0 - 2
SGS
32%
26%
42%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |