Fortuna Köln U19 vs Rot-Weiss Essen U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
64.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
WUP
3 - 0
FOR
58%
21%
21%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 6
BOR
8%
13%
79%
|
11 | 30 | 19 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
KOL
3 - 2
FOR
90%
7%
3%
|
11 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2015 |
MON
4 - 1
FOR
87%
9%
4%
|
11 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 1
1FC
33%
23%
44%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ESS
1 - 2
BOR
11%
16%
73%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
MON
1 - 2
ESS
83%
11%
6%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ESS
0 - 1
FOR
21%
21%
58%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
ESS
1 - 0
DUI
35%
22%
44%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
SPR
3 - 0
ESS
12%
17%
71%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | -2 |