Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Holstein Kiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
31.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
FCN
2 - 0
F95
24%
23%
53%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
VFL
0 - 5
F95
3%
8%
89%
|
74 | 35 | 39 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
NET
1 - 0
F95
2%
6%
92%
|
75 | 21 | 54 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
F95
2 - 3
BRE
32%
24%
44%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
SVS
0 - 2
F95
15%
20%
65%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
HOL
0 - 3
SSV
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
WEI
2 - 4
HOL
9%
15%
76%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
HOL
0 - 3
S04
38%
25%
37%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
STP
3 - 0
HOL
24%
24%
51%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
HAL
2 - 2
HOL
16%
20%
64%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |