2. Bundesliga . Jor. 12

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Nürnberg analysis

Fortuna Düsseldorf Nürnberg
72 ELO 64
6.7% Tilt 15.7%
293º General ELO ranking 941º
21º Country ELO ranking 38º
ELO win probability
56.4%
Fortuna Düsseldorf
23%
Draw
20.6%
Nürnberg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20.6%
Win probability
Nürnberg
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fortuna Düsseldorf
+6%
-1%
Nürnberg

Points and table prediction

Fortuna Düsseldorf
Their league position
Nürnberg
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
39
17º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Darmstadt 98
67
67
100%
Hamburger SV
66
66
100%
Heidenheim
65
65
100%
FC St Pauli
58
58
100%
Fortuna Düsseldorf
58
58
100%
Paderborn
55
55
100%
Karlsruher SC
46
46
0%
Holstein Kiel
46
46
0%
Kaiserslautern
45
45
100%
Hannover 96
10º
44
44
10º
100%
Magdeburg
11º
43
43
11º
100%
Greuther Fürth
12º
41
41
12º
100%
Hansa Rostock
13º
41
41
13º
100%
Nürnberg
14º
39
39
14º
100%
Eintracht Braunschweig
15º
36
36
15º
100%
Arminia Bielefeld
16º
34
34
16º
100%
Jahn Regensburg
17º
32
32
17º
100%
Sandhausen
18º
28
28
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Nürnberg
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Fortuna Düsseldorf
Nürnberg
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fortuna Düsseldorf
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Oct. 2022
DAR
Darmstadt 98
1 - 0
Fortuna Düsseldorf
F95
47%
24%
29%
72 75 3 0
01 Oct. 2022
F95
Fortuna Düsseldorf
4 - 1
Arminia Bielefeld
ARB
42%
26%
32%
71 71 0 +1
17 Sep. 2022
HSV
Hamburger SV
2 - 0
Fortuna Düsseldorf
F95
51%
24%
26%
72 77 5 -1
10 Sep. 2022
F95
Fortuna Düsseldorf
3 - 1
Hansa Rostock
ROS
58%
23%
19%
71 63 8 +1
02 Sep. 2022
HEI
Heidenheim
2 - 1
Fortuna Düsseldorf
F95
35%
26%
40%
72 70 2 -1

Matches

Nürnberg
Nürnberg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Oct. 2022
FCN
Nürnberg
2 - 3
Holstein Kiel
HOL
32%
25%
43%
65 69 4 0
02 Oct. 2022
KSC
Karlsruher SC
3 - 0
Nürnberg
FCN
44%
26%
30%
65 68 3 0
22 Sep. 2022
FCN
Nürnberg
4 - 3
St. Gallen
STG
16%
18%
66%
65 79 14 0
17 Sep. 2022
DAR
Darmstadt 98
2 - 0
Nürnberg
FCN
58%
23%
20%
66 74 8 -1
09 Sep. 2022
FCN
Nürnberg
1 - 0
Arminia Bielefeld
ARB
33%
26%
41%
65 71 6 +1
X