Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs Homberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
12.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+72%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
BSC
0 - 3
FOR
25%
23%
52%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
KÖL
0 - 0
FOR
58%
23%
19%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
FOR
1 - 2
WUP
39%
24%
37%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
STR
1 - 1
FOR
41%
25%
34%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
RWA
1 - 1
FOR
34%
25%
41%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
VFB
0 - 0
KÖL
15%
21%
65%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
WUP
3 - 1
VFB
73%
17%
10%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
ROT
3 - 0
VFB
86%
10%
4%
|
31 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
VFB
1 - 2
RWA
38%
23%
39%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
ROD
0 - 1
VFB
76%
16%
8%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | +1 |