Primera B Clausura . Jor. 4

Fortaleza vs Leones analysis

Fortaleza Leones
55 ELO 57
6.2% Tilt -2.5%
436º General ELO ranking 1219º
12º Country ELO ranking 27º
ELO win probability
42.5%
Fortaleza
26%
Draw
31.5%
Leones

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
Fortaleza
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
31.5%
Win probability
Leones
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fortaleza
+1%
-2%
Leones

ELO progression

Fortaleza
Leones
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fortaleza
Fortaleza
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Aug. 2021
CAR
Real Cartagena
0 - 1
Fortaleza
FOR
46%
25%
29%
54 54 0 0
02 Aug. 2021
FOR
Fortaleza
3 - 0
Boca Juniors de Cali
BJC
56%
23%
20%
53 50 3 +1
26 Jul. 2021
UNI
Unión Magdalena
3 - 1
Fortaleza
FOR
59%
23%
18%
54 60 6 -1
16 Jun. 2021
FOR
Fortaleza
0 - 2
Atlético Huila
HUI
33%
25%
42%
55 62 7 -1
05 May. 2021
LEO
Leones
3 - 0
Fortaleza
FOR
38%
26%
37%
56 56 0 -1

Matches

Leones
Leones
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Aug. 2021
LEO
Leones
0 - 0
Boyacá Chicó
CHI
28%
28%
44%
57 63 6 0
31 Jul. 2021
RSC
Real Cundinamarca
1 - 1
Leones
LEO
40%
27%
33%
57 56 1 0
25 Jul. 2021
LEO
Leones
1 - 0
Orsomarso SC
ORS
51%
26%
23%
56 52 4 +1
16 Jun. 2021
COR
Internacional de Palmira
3 - 0
Leones
LEO
48%
24%
28%
57 60 3 -1
05 May. 2021
LEO
Leones
3 - 0
Fortaleza
FOR
38%
26%
37%
56 56 0 +1
X