Fortaleza vs Tigres FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
9.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2022 |
FOR
0 - 1
BOG
67%
19%
15%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 1
CAL
39%
25%
37%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2022 |
QUI
1 - 1
FOR
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 1
FOR
14%
25%
61%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 3
FOR
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Tigres FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2022 |
TFC
0 - 1
QUI
30%
29%
41%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
TFC
1 - 2
IND
16%
22%
62%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
BOG
2 - 1
TFC
55%
24%
22%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
HUI
0 - 0
TFC
37%
30%
33%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
TFC
2 - 0
BAR
54%
27%
19%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |