Fortaleza vs Tigres FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
14.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
LLA
1 - 1
FOR
44%
27%
29%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
FOR
3 - 1
LEO
43%
26%
32%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 1
FOR
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2021 |
FOR
3 - 0
BJC
56%
23%
20%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2021 |
UNI
3 - 1
FOR
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Tigres FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
TFC
0 - 1
CHI
18%
26%
56%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
RSC
0 - 0
TFC
56%
25%
19%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
TFC
1 - 2
ORS
42%
29%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
AFC
2 - 1
TFC
34%
30%
36%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
TFC
0 - 0
BOG
39%
28%
34%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |