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Primera B Clausura. Matchday 8

Fortaleza vs Bogotá analysis

Fortaleza Bogotá
52 ELO 44
38% Tilt -5%
1138º General ELO ranking 2581º
25º Country ELO ranking 33º
ELO win probability
69.7%
Fortaleza
18.1%
Draw
12.2%
Bogotá

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
Fortaleza
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
12.2%
Win probability
Bogotá
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fortaleza
+24%
+42%
Bogotá

Basic stats

3
0
GF
0
3
GC
52
44
ELO
2.2
0.8
EXP
Key
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Fortaleza
Their league position
Bogotá
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
15º
17
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Fortaleza
17
28
31%
Bogotá
17
27
25%
Boyacá Chicó
15
21
9%
Leones
14
23
11%
Cortuluá
14
23
11%
Unión Magdalena
14
29
3%
Llaneros
14
20
9%
Atlético Fútbol Club
11
21
10%
Barranquilla
9
15
11º
10%
Real Cartagena
10º
8
19
13%
Real Santander
11º
8
16
10º
13%
Orsomarso SC
12º
7
13
12º
14%
Tigres FC
13º
5
12
13º
20%
Valledupar
14º
3
10
14º
28%
Boca Juniors de Cali
15º
1
5
15º
60%
Expected probabilities
Fortaleza
Bogotá
Champion
31% 27%
Knockout stages
68% 71%
Mid-table
1% 1%

ELO progression

Fortaleza
FOR
Bogotá
BOG
Real Santander
REA
Atlético Fútbol Club
AFC
Orsomarso SC
ORS
Cortuluá
COR
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fortaleza
Fortaleza
1%
X%
2%
ELO FOR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Sep. 2021
BAR
Barranquilla
0 - 0
Fortaleza
FOR
39%
28%
33%
1015 690 -325 -1
28 Aug. 2021
FOR
Fortaleza
2 - 1
Tigres FC
TFC
51%
25%
23%
1011 905 106 +4
22 Aug. 2021
LLA
Llaneros
1 - 1
Fortaleza
FOR
46%
27%
27%
1011 930 -81 0
14 Aug. 2021
FOR
Fortaleza
3 - 1
Leones
LEO
55%
25%
20%
1039 759 280 +5
06 Aug. 2021
CAR
Real Cartagena
0 - 1
Fortaleza
FOR
47%
27%
26%
1034 1040 6 +5

Matches

Bogotá
Bogotá
1%
X%
2%
ELO BOG ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Sep. 2021
BOG
Bogotá
2 - 1
Boyacá Chicó
CHI
38%
28%
34%
743 1148 -405 +6
30 Aug. 2021
VAL
Valledupar
0 - 2
Bogotá
BOG
47%
27%
26%
735 743 8 +7
21 Aug. 2021
BOG
Bogotá
3 - 0
Orsomarso SC
ORS
46%
27%
28%
728 797 -69 +8
13 Aug. 2021
AFC
Atlético Fútbol Club
0 - 1
Bogotá
BOG
42%
27%
31%
747 556 -191 +4
01 Aug. 2021
BOG
Bogotá
2 - 0
Barranquilla
BAR
47%
27%
26%
741 691 50 +6