Fortaleza vs Bogotá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
32.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2019 |
CHI
1 - 1
FOR
51%
24%
25%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2019 |
FOR
2 - 1
BAR
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2019 |
QUI
1 - 1
FOR
53%
26%
21%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 1
AFC
57%
24%
20%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
TFC
3 - 2
FOR
37%
29%
34%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Bogotá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2019 |
BOG
1 - 1
CAR
34%
24%
42%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2019 |
BOG
0 - 3
TFC
50%
26%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
RSC
1 - 1
BOG
34%
28%
38%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
BOG
2 - 1
ORS
61%
23%
16%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
REA
0 - 1
BOG
35%
28%
38%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |