Fortaleza vs América de Cali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
43.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 0
FOR
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 1
TFC
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
UNI
0 - 2
FOR
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 0
ACA
41%
26%
32%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
COR
1 - 1
FOR
55%
24%
20%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
América de Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2012 |
AME
1 - 0
REA
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
ONC
2 - 0
AME
72%
17%
11%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
AME
0 - 0
ONC
32%
25%
44%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
TOL
1 - 4
AME
63%
23%
14%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2011 |
AME
2 - 1
CAR
55%
25%
21%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |