Fortaleza EC vs Ypiranga FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
8.8%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
FOR
2 - 1
BAH
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
4DE
1 - 2
FOR
6%
17%
77%
|
76 | 40 | 36 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 1
SAN
75%
17%
8%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
CEA
0 - 0
FOR
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2021 |
CAX
0 - 1
FOR
14%
23%
63%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Ypiranga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
YPI
1 - 0
BRA
39%
25%
35%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
AIM
0 - 0
YPI
30%
26%
44%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
YPI
4 - 1
ECS
55%
23%
22%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2021 |
YPI
0 - 1
JUV
32%
25%
43%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 1
YPI
13%
21%
66%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |