Fortaleza EC vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
41.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
COR
2 - 0
FOR
73%
17%
10%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
FOR
0 - 0
SAN
23%
24%
53%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
ATP
3 - 1
FOR
67%
20%
13%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
FOR
0 - 2
SAO
24%
24%
52%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
SAO
3 - 0
FOR
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
VIT
1 - 0
FLA
49%
23%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
SCI
0 - 1
VIT
52%
24%
23%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
VIT
3 - 0
JUV
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
VIT
4 - 1
GRE
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
VAS
1 - 0
VIT
60%
22%
19%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |