Fortaleza EC vs Icasa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
15%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
9.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
AGU
2 - 2
FOR
18%
26%
57%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
FOR
3 - 0
BOT
71%
19%
10%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
CON
1 - 0
FOR
15%
25%
61%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 0
ARN
57%
24%
20%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2015 |
SAL
0 - 1
FOR
22%
28%
50%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
ICA
1 - 4
CUI
43%
28%
30%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
ASA
3 - 1
ICA
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
ICA
2 - 0
AGU
54%
24%
23%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
BOT
2 - 0
ICA
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
ICA
2 - 3
CON
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |