Fortaleza EC vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.7%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
46.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2021 |
SPO
1 - 0
FOR
34%
27%
38%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
FOR
0 - 0
FLA
15%
21%
64%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2020 |
FOR
0 - 2
CEA
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
BRA
2 - 1
FOR
40%
27%
33%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2020 |
FOR
0 - 0
COR
38%
28%
33%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
GRE
2 - 1
BAH
75%
16%
9%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2020 |
SAO
0 - 0
GRE
42%
28%
31%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2020 |
GRE
2 - 1
ATL
76%
16%
8%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2020 |
GRE
1 - 0
SAO
56%
23%
21%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
SPO
1 - 1
GRE
23%
27%
51%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |