Fortaleza EC vs CSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
8.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1974 |
NAC
2 - 0
FOR
48%
28%
25%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1974 |
FOR
1 - 1
SAO
38%
26%
37%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1974 |
FOR
0 - 2
SAN
37%
25%
39%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1974 |
ATM
0 - 1
FOR
69%
18%
13%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1974 |
FOR
3 - 3
SPO
58%
22%
20%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1974 |
SAN
1 - 0
CSA
82%
13%
5%
|
58 | 87 | 29 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1974 |
CSA
1 - 3
CEA
35%
26%
39%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1974 |
CSA
0 - 1
CRZ
14%
29%
57%
|
59 | 85 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1974 |
CSA
0 - 2
PAL
16%
24%
60%
|
59 | 86 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1974 |
CSA
0 - 1
NAU
38%
28%
34%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |