Conmebol Sudamericana Quarter-finals
Global 0-5
Fortaleza EC vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
21.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ATP
1 - 1
FOR
48%
25%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2024 |
SCI
2 - 1
FOR
48%
25%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BOT
2 - 0
FOR
49%
24%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 0
COR
53%
25%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
FOR
3 - 1
CEN
59%
23%
19%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
BOT
2 - 1
COR
54%
25%
21%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2024 |
COR
3 - 1
JUV
51%
25%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
COR
2 - 1
FLA
47%
25%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
JUV
2 - 1
COR
49%
26%
25%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 0
COR
53%
25%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |