Fortaleza EC vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
12.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
SAM
1 - 1
FOR
28%
26%
46%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2002 |
FOR
6 - 1
BRA
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2002 |
GUA
0 - 2
FOR
15%
23%
63%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2002 |
ANA
1 - 0
FOR
36%
26%
38%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
FOR
2 - 0
LON
36%
27%
36%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
CAX
0 - 0
NAU
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
CRB
1 - 0
CAX
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
SAM
1 - 0
CAX
35%
25%
39%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2002 |
CAX
1 - 0
SPO
21%
26%
53%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
CAX
0 - 0
BRA
45%
24%
31%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |