Fortaleza EC vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
SPO
2 - 0
FOR
52%
24%
23%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2002 |
FOR
2 - 1
REM
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
MOG
2 - 0
FOR
18%
25%
58%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2002 |
FOR
4 - 0
XVD
70%
19%
11%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2002 |
FOR
4 - 1
CRI
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
BOT
3 - 7
MOG
70%
18%
12%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
BOT
3 - 4
CRI
43%
26%
32%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2002 |
AME
4 - 0
BOT
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2002 |
BOT
4 - 2
PAU
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
UNI
1 - 2
BOT
39%
26%
35%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |